Tuesday, September 11, 2007

Zero to a thousand? OH BABY that helps!

Just ran REALLY well and got lucky as hell when it mattered most to win. I certainly played well up until the final table, but I took risks. Although my QQ got ran down by A6 in the biggest pot of the night multiway, I ended up shoving in with JT and picking up blinds, winning a coinflip with JT the next hand, then coming back and picking up aces to 2 limps and a raise, and finally going headsup down to one on one at the final table aginst the same guy who took all my chips with A6 vs QQ... But this time I would get my revenge...
It's funny because I teased him telling him to consider my chips a loan to him, telling him I'll get them all back... plus interest. I figured if I ran into him again, I would pick up a hand and let him try to keep running me over and bluffing away as he did whenever people called him . I met him again at the final table.

The final table was quick as hell. There were a few people a bunch of limpers and me completing on the SB and the BB raising. he raised pretty big, and i figured he was making a steal, or had a low pair, but I opted for the stop and go with AJ. On low card board I didn't shove all in so I made his decesion a little tougher, but I committed 3/4 my stack on the raise so basically was all in. The chips were right for this move, especially since I figured him for a pair which I have 6 outs, rags which he'll fold but if I push preflop he might be less likely to giv it up. or an ace with me either being dominated, or him dominating me, but if this was the case, I think he'd have to fold because he knows I could have hit. When he said "no way do you call there" either before or after I called, I knew that he was angry about it and didn't want me to call. This meant he probably didn't have AK or AQ because he wouldn't be so angry about it. he could have KQ, but my initial read could have been right, minus AK and AQ. I pushed and he said "no way you have anything" but he folded anyways. Not only do I get him to fold more often this way, but If I flop something big, I can lead out with a very small bet and he'll feel like calling will commit too much, and the bet is too small to fold to, so he'll probably push and I can get more when I hit. It was a very bold move to make, but at the final table you're not playing for second, you've done that all tournament, you gotta play to win, or to place top 5. The move was made a little earlier than I needed to, But I just felt like the guy was on a steal from the BB... his raise was a large portion in relationship to the chipstacks, which screamed "please fold!" He knew that people PROBABLY wouldn't want to commit a large amount of there stack. He actually raised in a position where if he gets called he can push all in. He has a lot of ways to win the pot, so if he's a maniac style player, he's raising with any hand there. I know how much people get aggressive at this stage of the table, and I really felt I could take it awy from him. I was getting just over 2 to 1 here. I actually felt like my hand might be best here, but it wasn't that big of dog with all the money in the pot, and I had a chance that I'd be a coinflip to the river, but had a large chance that my aggression would in anyways, or have 6 outs if not at least a large enough of the tim where it was the right move in the long run in terms of chips. In terms of survival it's a horrible move, and thus should never be done early on in tourneys or even in the middle part. But if you want to play for the win, it should be done. I think the above example is basically the perfect example of a stop and go. Ideally you'd do it with AQ. Some say hands like 88 or 99 are good hands too, but it depends, how likely you are to get called with 2 overcards to the board. Personally I'd rather be the one pushing with 2 overs, and if my oponent calls with a pair I got outs, but it does make some sense because a pair from preflop to the river is only a slight favorite, a pair to the flop is like a 70% chance of being best. However, you're probably only going to get called with a hand that has you absolutely crushed to 2 outs. Personally I'd rather push with outs, and be able to extract value if I hit.
So I took that pot down and jumped up from like 380K to 600k

it was a hell of a tournament and I outlasted over 4200 players and took down the win...
$222 baby!
I had no idea the challenge would get going as quickly as it did... nor did I think such a large portion would come from freerolls alone, but it did, and now I can play with some bigger cash. I'll do all the math and put up final table and stuff this weekend, and I'll try to get my other videos too
4th freeroll cash, I've just been on FIRE lately.
This was the luckiest I got in awhile... my opponent was raising every single hand, i opted to limp push him representing a monster hoping he would allow me to play some small pots. He couldn't have a hand everytime, but he happened to have one that time.. he flipped AA over but I caught a 4card flush with my Q7.. that's DAMN lucky. Then A5 the next hand I was raised and pushed and he had 55 and I hit my ace and won it. It was pretty rediculous, but I got him back for busting my Queens and THEN some.

anyways I got work early tommorrow, and I gotta get some sleep so moreto come later!

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